How do you know if your horse is Under or Over Weighted?
Why does it matter? Can it help me choose the right betting strategy?
This video looks to answer these questions and a lot more.
Get a download of our FREE “Under or Over Weight Calculator” at:
www.insidetraxs.co.uk
Link do palpite
I was under the impression that scalping was best with an over-weighted runner (in a tight corridor) but at minute 12 of the video, you say we want to be scalping on an under-weighted horse as price bounces from the top and bottom of the corridor? I thought under-weighted runners were risky to scalp as price movements could happen very quickly and move several ticks against us? Confused on this point.
How far ahead of the start should we be doing the calculation to identify if a horse is underweight or overweight? Won't we get different results depending when we do it?
With all due respect, you state 60,000 x 4.5, but as we are using digital odds the actual figure is 3.5, i have been testing this method last couple of days for swing trades, I have identified horses were the total money bet on it divided by the total bet on the race, so if we have a horse that has had 10,000 bet on it and the total race money is 100,000 then it should be at 11/1 digital, but the price is 5, obviously there isnt any money going on this horse and it is a false price. wait until it reaches the bottom of its range then lay it , almost always they have drifted back out, in ths case up to 7, early days yet as sometimes there may be 2 or three horses like this, it seems to work better on drifters rather than steamers, certainly were there are two stand out favs it is sometimes easy to identify which horse has had the more money, again more often than not this will steam in, its not a magic wand but it is a very good indicator, today i had the following , not many races but proves a point , 4.2 out to 4.8 , 2.2 out to 2.34, 6 out to 7.2, 5.6 out to 6 twice 2.94 out to 3.25, one bad one which was touch and go and wasnt really over weighted layed at 3.5 went into 3.1, some i did around 8 minute mark other within 5 minutes, have to keep an eye on the charts all the time, wonder if anyone knows a software which shows volume bet on each horse and is in real time, that would help greatly, fab site and videos btw.
Well that's 13 minutes I'll never get back. 1 diagram and 3 minutes would have done the job. Great content but turgid delivery.
Thanks for reply. I wasn't having a go at you btw. Some great snippets throughout your vids. Watched them all. Great stuff.
I think you've made the wrong calculation here . The horse is 4.50 but that actually means 3.50 ( 7/2 ) but you've mulitplied by 4.5 , so a whole £60k incorrect figure . A little muddled ?