I have a theory that trading league football on the Betfair exchange during an international break does not work. So I thought I would do a Betfair trading experiment and see if I was right. What is the effect of international football on Betfair trading? Let’s find out!
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Great analysis, Martin. I would also state that big teams have a higher probability of slipping up on the weekends before and/or after a mid week European games. I see this happen quite often in recent years with the likes of Barcelona and Real Madrid.
"Real difficulties can be overcome; it is only the imaginary ones that are unconquerable." —Theodore N. Vail
Well i did notice a lot with international breaks and this season in particular with all the worldcup , nations league , qualitfyers . in the dutch league as all top 6 teams exept for 1 or 2 had draws . And other leagues teams suddenly underperformed with lower ranked teams in huge ways .
As its a bit funny as the teams that had no internationals performed above expectations.
I don't do set and forget strats so any game works that allow you to see live stats. Many international games are very low scoring though
I have my own theory that the lower down the football pyramid you go, the more erratic the results. It might be that you are having to trade these leagues rather than the top countries during an international break. I did ok actually but my main strategy allows me to trade on international games too.