If you have watched my previous videos, you will have seen me say the only way you stand a chance at sports betting is to have a mathematical model. The problem is most people have no idea what exactly a model is, or where to start. The purpose of this video is to illustrate a sports betting model at the very simplest level possible. This video is intentionally low level to educate the absolute novice about the basics of building a sports betting model using a simple linear regression approach in Microsoft Excel.
The model demoed in this video is very simple and therefore will not win you money in the long run. The purpose of the model is to illustrate the concepts and principles behind a linear regression model. The idea is to take this video and learn the basics and then advance your sports betting analytical skills to more complex methods.
This channel is a tout free safe space that has zero tolerance for touting or speaking positively about touts.
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Hi William, I´m looking at your video but don´t understand in minute 3 where did your get away and home from? is not on the website you´re showing. Could you help me please?
For all of my data analysis, I keep getting a positive intercept even tho I am using the same stats and everything as you. Does this mean that the away team has a ≈2 point advantage
What is the best place to go to easily import mens college basketball schedule into excel?
When I try to calculate the ASRS I get #N/A
This dude is in it for the views. If you wanna do all this mess and you understand decimals and reference sports. Just use Sagarin. This model is completely WRONG! Power Rating, Effectiveness Rating, Offensive & Defensive Ratings. If you don't know handicapping, you want figure it out this way. Excel is workbook to keep track of statistics, Period! It'll never calculated for injury or players just being out for rest. Good luck! Dude slow down!! You're teaching people, not a masters class! People are trying to keep up and your moving for yourself.
These are perfect world snapshot stats. He doesn't take into account injuries, starting lineups, weather, days off, morning, afternoon, prime time televised games, the officiating crew etc… My dad used to call a guy like this an 'educated idiot'
I looked at the score to the Dallas vs Detroit game in 2018. Cowboys won by 2
What College courses would I be able to take to learn and recreate these formulas?
What if there is no any "rating" for teams, like how do u get which team is better on paper from another. I just simply have matches history and statistics about them
Great video I just have a question. I used a few stats for this and when I did the regression on them individually they all had very low P values, but when I did them all together they got very large. How do I interpret that?
How did you find the APF/HPF?
How about one using R! Excel is the devil!
In my opinion, SCAM Artist, misleading information. Sportsbooks will always win and it's by design. Disgusting. Think for yourselves. How Is this guy really making money? How long does it take to put together these videos? How is he finding time to bet? This guy is deceiving you.
Is there a fast way you got the past year's schedule into excel? or did you hand input?
I did everything the same way you did but just for NBA, ran this equation and got -2.25425 for Clippers @ Suns. Does the – in front mean the Clippers are 2.25 favorites or underdogs?
I used to work with some mathematicians and fellow programmers, creating a betting algorithm, you can check them out @bettingtitans
i have a simple model that i teach. made 32 units last month and can be used in all basketball markets. hit me up if interested. mk1lima@gmail. c o m
Just another shill promoting gambling and rigged sports. Sports are scripted by the code ABC,123. You sound like another freemason!
did u do that manual or is sit an easy way to do that? 2:44
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Did you manually input all 256 games?
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