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The Math Behind How Betting Odds Are Set | Mach | NBC News








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The Math Behind How Betting Odds Are Set | Mach | NBC News

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20 Comentários

  1. This video misses one VERY important piece of reasoning behind where betting lines are set for sports. There ARE predictions being made, but not necessarily regarding who wins or the final score. In most cases, the odds makers are less interested in what the outcome of the event will be, but on how the betting line effects how people bet. Generally, they want half of the money to be bet on each side. Usually a bettor wagers $100 to win $90. So, if 10 people bet on Team A and 10 bet on Team B, if team A wins the book takes in $1000 from the losers and pays out $900 to the winners, profiting $100. And if Team B wins? The book makes the same amount of money. That way the house is guaranteed a profit no matter what happens. That is why you will occasionally see the line change mid week even if there have been no new developments (player injuries, etc). It often just means that too much of the money is being bet on one side, so the line gets adjusted to entice action on the other side. Many times after a game you will hear talk radio pundits talk about how 'wrong' the oddsmakers were because the final score was nowhere close to the line that was set. If the line that they set balanced the books and guaranteed their employer a profit they may have been much more correct than people think. There are of course many other factors that come into when talking about parlays, money line bets and the like, but I have confined my comment to simple point spread and over/under scenarios for simplicity. The same underlying principle applies to all different kinds of odds setting though: guarantee a profit.

  2. This video was so pointless,on the coin flip you took the lonnng route, just to get to a 50/50 chance for heads or tails,and then a longer route to say idk how odds makers really figure there odds because it's privileged information…🤦🏾‍♂️

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